3   پول، ارز و تورم

D(LOG(M2C)) = - 0.1292508927*( LOG(M2C(-1)) - 2.245986653*LOG(GDPFC(-1)) + 0.1946397587*LOG(EXRM(-1)) + 2.901972133*LOG(CPI(-1)/CPI(-2)) + 10.89235266 ) +0.03686119262*D(LOG(M2C(-1)))+0.009210551338*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1)))+ 0.02346247098*D(LOG(EXRM(-1)))-0.0390070853*D(LOG(CPI(-1)/CPI(-2)))+ 0.07500368546

 

D(LOG(M2S)) = - 0.4461286615*( LOG(M2S(-1)) - 0.5644635741*LOG(PDB(-1)) - 0.4225633154*LOG(GDB(-1)) - 0.05223920901*LOG(OGREV(-1)) - 0.3882143342 ) + 0.4018518381*D(LOG(M2S(-1)))+0.08258848003*D(LOG(PDB(-1)))- 0.0359624097*D(LOG(GDB(-1))) + 0.02281398652*D(LOG(OGREV(-1)))

 

'' INFLATION ''

 

D(LOG(CPI)) = - 0.2385501251*( LOG(CPI(-1)) + 0.3443003795*LOG(GDPFC(-1)) - 0.3101873961*LOG(M2(-1))-0.5209743758*LOG(PM(-1)) - 0.151152607*LOG(EXRM(-1))-0.3257304486)+ 0.3871851186*D(LOG(CPI(-1))) - 0.06724081787*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1)))+0.1016438693*D(LOG(M2(-1)))+0.1945058813*D(LOG(PM(-1)))+0.006897729686*D(LOG(EXRM(-1))) + 0.03804397139

 

RCPI=((CPI/CPI(-1))-1)*100

 

'' EXCHANGE RATE ''

 

D(LOG(EXRM)) = 0.04355639015*( LOG(EXRM(-1)) - 0.4245061151*LOG(M2(-1)) - 0.9650394801*LOG(GDPFC(-1))-1.000885041*LOG(CPI(-1)/CPIOECD(-1))+0.4596129426*LOG(OGREV(-1)) + 3.577688838 ) - 0.2287186918*D(LOG(EXRM(-1)))+0.3604363302*D(LOG(M2(-1)))-1.802046064*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1)))+ 0.1111192472*D(LOG(CPI(-1)/CPIOECD(-1))) - 0.09308234362*D(LOG(OGREV(-1))) + 0.169349766

 

 

 

 

 

جدول شماره 18- بخش پول، ارز و تورم