3   اشتغال و بيكاري

D(LOG(LFLS)) = - 0.04516859787*( LOG(LFLS(-1)) - 0.147542544*LOG(YFLS(-1)) + 0.2546881478*LOG(RWB(-1)) - 15.02855668 ) + 0.6550445886*D(LOG(LFLS(-1))) - 0.01959396381*D(LOG(YFLS(-1)))+0.01749705193*D(LOG(RWB(-1)))- 0.0007943099949

 

D(LOG(LFISH)) = - 0.2091761562*( LOG(LFISH(-1)) - 1.078506988*LOG(YFISH(-1)) + 0.04311638898*LOG(KFISH(-1)) + 1.002376757*LOG(WFISH(-1)) - 18.7913981 ) + 0.5216159765*D(LOG(LFISH(-1)))-0.4706447019*D(LOG(YFISH(-1)))+ 0.1771710314*D(LOG(KFISH(-1)))+0.1485568528*D(LOG(WFISH(-1)))+ 0.01453528505 + 0.01807523595*DW

 

D(LOG(LFOR)) = 0.2274991188*( LOG(LFOR(-1)) - 1.029291047*LOG(YFOR(-1)) + 0.08357334592*LOG(KFOR(-1)) + 0.9618390966*LOG(WFOR(-1)) - 18.49761045 ) + 0.167266451*D(LOG(LFOR(-1)))+0.3034870494*D(LOG(YFOR(-1)))- 0.1159940835*D(LOG(KFOR(-1)))- 0.113669324*D(LOG(WFOR(-1))) + 0.06375755391 - 0.09650030816*DW

 

D(LOG(LOILG)) = - 0.1215641628*( LOG(LOILG(-1)) - 0.637068807*

LOG(YOILG(-1))-1.25109788*LOG(KOILG(-1)) + 0.1270466201*LOG(WOILG(-1)) ) - 0.009815487917*D(LOG(LOILG(-1)))-0.002041863448*D(LOG(YOILG(-1)))- 0.487131994*D(LOG(KOILG(-1)))+0.03597977202*D(LOG(WOILG(-1)))- 0.1058875623*DRW

 

D(LOG(LMAN)) = - 0.2699529623*( LOG(LMAN(-1)) - 0.5378640693*

LOG(YMAN(-1)) - 0.1692329582*LOG(KMAN(-1)) + 0.5877997195*LOG(WBM(-1)) - 0.2102807188*LOG(RPMI(-1)) - 0.01695118805*LOG(RMW(-1)) - 15.96143727 ) + 0.1031370111*D(LOG(LMAN(-1)))-0.2043961113*D(LOG(YMAN(-1)))- 0.1139283688*D(LOG(KMAN(-1)))+0.012535217*D(LOG(WBM(-1)))- 0.06745800683*D(LOG(RPMI(-1)))+0.01245580984*D(LOG(RMW(-1)))+ 0.1048215998 - 0.07429538237*DR

 

D(LOG(LMIN)) = - 0.5273463136*( LOG(LMIN(-1)) - 0.313436587*LOG(YMIN(-1)) - 0.3301189801*LOG(KMIN(-1)) + 0.3537670364*LOG(WMIN(-1)) - 12.38331862 ) + 0.9093370766*D(LOG(LMIN(-1)))-0.4408852089*D(LOG(YMIN(-1)))+0.0317414082*D(LOG(KMIN(-1)))+0.1719255631*D(LOG(WMIN(-1)))+ 0.01446630614

 

D(LOG(LWAT)) = - 0.02673638159*( LOG(LWAT(-1)) - 0.7553829401*

LOG(YWAT(-1)) + 0.1042354231*LOG(KWAT(-1)) + 0.4046496301*LOG(WWAT(-1))- 13.48014664 ) + 0.3876102053*D(LOG(LWAT(-1))) + 0.01306137071*D(LOG(YWAT(-1))) + 0.1655498868*D(LOG(KWAT(-1))) - 0.3312693188*D(LOG(WWAT(-1))) + 0.04043175862 - 0.009537090765*DW

 

D(LOG(LEL)) = 0.04389494865*(LOG(LEL(-1)) - 0.9599951551*LOG(YEL(-1)) - 0.3174476632*LOG(KEL(-1)) + 1.021811892*LOG(WEL(-1)) - 18.25800231 ) + 0.1353239106*D(LOG(LEL(-1)))+0.3094588606*D(LOG(YEL(-1)))+ 0.2291208824*D(LOG(KEL(-1))) - 0.08452881404*D(LOG(WEL(-1))) - 0.006498049314 + 0.007653511114*DR

 

D(LOG(LBUILD))= - 1.25023957*( LOG(LBUILD(-1)) - 0.9449023504*LOG(YBUILD(-1))-0.03345479196*LOG(KBUILD(-1))+0.9988686034*LOG(WBUILD(-1))- 20.76101361 ) + 1.366401563*D(LOG(LBUILD(-1)))-1.014070263*D(LOG(YBUILD(-1)))+ 0.08121577252*D(LOG(KBUILD(-1))) + 0.9903252478*D(LOG(WBUILD(-1)))

 

D(LOG(LTC)) = 0.01528205891*( LOG(LTC(-1)) - 1.297299651*LOG(YTC(-1)) + 0.4307629638*LOG(KTC(-1)) + 0.8129033586*LOG(WTC(-2)) - 1.948109721 ) + 0.303201333*D(LOG(LTC(-1)))+0.1410342724*D(LOG(YTC(-1)))+ 0.09013082527*D(LOG(KTC(-1)))- 0.03843971252*D(LOG(WTC(-2))) + 0.02771741228

 

D(LOG(LBUS)) = 0.04685859774*( LOG(LBUS(-1)) - 0.3754258172*LOG(YBUS(-1)) - 0.5129755388*LOG(KBUS(-1)) + 1.081823132*LOG(WBUS(-1)) - 19.82266977 ) + 0.3137896911*D(LOG(LBUS(-1)))+0.2444886543*D(LOG(LBUS(-2)))+ 0.02292237176*D(LOG(YBUS(-1)))+0.02039944251*D(LOG(YBUS(-2)))- 0.01752828164*D(LOG(KBUS(-1)))-0.02070458225*D(LOG(KBUS(-2)))- 0.05250777267*D(LOG(WBUS(-1)))-0.02742810147*D(LOG(WBUS(-2)))+

0.0191311446 - 0.001245543421*DR

 

D(LOG(LFM)) = - 0.04675227861*( LOG(LFM(-1)) - 0.9473579128*LOG(YFM(-1)) + 0.09938549659*LOG(KFM(-1)) + 1.198217923*LOG(WFM(-1)) - 22.0312085 ) + 0.4167574631*D(LOG(LFM(-1)))-0.2984086659*D(LOG(LFM(-2)))+ 0.04453865917*D(LOG(YFM(-1)))+0.1310680673*D(LOG(YFM(-2)))+ 0.03048104876*D(LOG(KFM(-1)))+0.02326271828*D(LOG(KFM(-2)))- 0.2059214393*D(LOG(WFM(-1)))- 0.2366977706*D(LOG(WFM(-2))) + 0.06265331646- 0.02555219274*DR

 

D(LOG(LPSO)) = 0.3610457169*( LOG(LPSO(-1)) - 0.8847004556*LOG(YPS(-1)) - 0.02744254273*LOG(KPS(-1)) + 0.8924380965*LOG(WPS(-1)) - 19.70007103 ) + 0.4953853827*D(LOG(LPSO(-1)))+0.3722341023*D(LOG(YPS(-1)))+ 0.03501875715*D(LOG(KPS(-1)))-0.3768773732*D(LOG(WPS(-1)))- 0.004952556929*DW

 

LAG=LFLS+LFISH+LFOR

LMM=LMAN+LMIN+LWAT+LEL+LOILG+LBUILD

LS=LTC+LBUS+LFM+LPSO

LT=LAG+LMM+LS

DLFLS=LFLS-LFLS(-1)

DLFISH=LFISH-LFISH(-1)

DLFOR=LFOR-LFOR(-1)

DLAG=DLFLS+DLFISH+DLFOR

DLMAN=LMAN-LMAN(-1)

DLMIN=LMIN-LMIN(-1)

DLWAT=LWAT-LWAT(-1)

DLEL=LEL-LEL(-1)

DLBUILD=LBUILD-LBUILD(-1)

DLOILG=LOILG-LOILG(-1)

DLMM=DLMAN+DLMIN+DLWAT+DLEL+DLBUILD+DLOILG

DLTC=LTC-LTC(-1)

DLBUS=LBUS-LBUS(-1)

DLFM=LFM-LFM(-1)

DLPSO=LPSO-LPSO(-1)

DLS=DLTC+DLBUS+DLFM+DLPSO

DLT=DLAG+DLMM+DLS

RLFLS=((LFLS/LFLS(-1))-1)*100

RLFISH=((LFISH/LFISH(-1))-1)*100

RLFOR=((LFOR/LFOR(-1))-1)*100

RLAG=((LAG/LAG(-1))-1)*100

RLMAN=((LMAN/LMAN(-1))-1)*100

RLMIN=((LMIN/LMIN(-1))-1)*100

RLWAT=((LWAT/LWAT(-1))-1)*100

RLEL=((LEL/LEL(-1))-1)*100

RLOILG=((LOILG/LOILG(-1))-1)*100

RLBUILD=((LBUILD/LBUILD(-1))-1)*100

RLMM=((LMM/LMM(-1))-1)*100

RLTC=((LTC/LTC(-1))-1)*100

RLBUS=((LBUS/LBUS(-1))-1)*100

RLFM=((LFM/LFM(-1))-1)*100

RLPSO=((LPSO/LPSO(-1))-1)*100

RLS=((LS/LS(-1))-1)*100

RLT=((LT/LT(-1))-1)*100

جدول شماره 17- تقاضاي نيروي كار